š„ Favorable Fortunes
FIRE BTC #53 - How bold action shapes your universe
A paid newsletter subscriber recently shared a post from the X account @The_Prophet_, also known as SightBringer. He found the post thought-provoking and suggested it would make a good topic to explore. I want to be responsiveāespecially to my paid subscribersāso I decided to take a closer look.
Thereās an old saying that āfortune favors the bold.ā
Iāve found this to be true in my own life. When you set your mind to an idea, and boldly move toward it each day, the universe tends to āshapeā itself around your actions.
Small actions create small ripples, but when strung together over time, they compound into large impacts.
Thinking about both our pursuit of financial independence and the nature of bitcoin in this context can provide a new perspective on the FIRE journey and make it a little easier to achieve.
Thatās what weāre exploring todayā¦
š¬ How action distorts probability
To me, āboldness creates probability distortionā can be understood by recognizing that the natural state of the world is somewhat chaotic and random.
There are endless possible futures that could unfold, each with its own probability.
Itās similar to the concept in quantum physics where multiple realities exist simultaneously until they are observed. Schrƶdingerās cat, for example, is both alive and dead until the box is opened and one version of reality is realized.
When we act in the world, we take a determinative stance toward certain possibilities, making them more likely. Our actions donāt guarantee specific outcomes, but they feed the universe with energy in a chosen directionāputting a thumb on the scale of probabilities.
Boldness, then, is a bias toward action rather than inaction, which slightly distorts the field of potential outcomes in our favor.
Each deliberate action we take shifts the probabilities of what happens next. Continued action in the same direction creates a feedback loop, reinforcing and amplifying those probabilities.
Over time, action compounds reality toward your desired future.
In the context of financial independence, there isnāt one big decision or stroke of luck that makes it happenāitās the recognition of a possibility and the consistent, conscious actions along the timeline that make that possibility more probable.
Every intentional step toward saving, investing, optimizing, or learning tilts the odds toward the life you envision.
The same principle that governs bold action also applies to how we view money itself.
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Schrƶdingerās cat stays in the box until someone opens it.
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š² Certainty, uncertainty, and bitcoin
When starting on the FIRE journey, itās impossible to know




