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🄠 Favorable Fortunes

FIRE BTC #53 - How bold action shapes your universe

Trey Sellers's avatar
Trey Sellers
Oct 30, 2025
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A paid newsletter subscriber recently shared a post from the X account @The_Prophet_, also known as SightBringer. He found the post thought-provoking and suggested it would make a good topic to explore. I want to be responsive—especially to my paid subscribers—so I decided to take a closer look.

There’s an old saying that ā€œfortune favors the bold.ā€

I’ve found this to be true in my own life. When you set your mind to an idea, and boldly move toward it each day, the universe tends to ā€œshapeā€ itself around your actions.

Small actions create small ripples, but when strung together over time, they compound into large impacts.

Thinking about both our pursuit of financial independence and the nature of bitcoin in this context can provide a new perspective on the FIRE journey and make it a little easier to achieve.

That’s what we’re exploring today…


šŸ’” FIRE BTC brings weekly insights that sharpen your vision, strengthen your conviction, and help you move boldly toward financial freedom with bitcoin.


šŸŽ¬ How action distorts probability

To me, ā€œboldness creates probability distortionā€ can be understood by recognizing that the natural state of the world is somewhat chaotic and random.

There are endless possible futures that could unfold, each with its own probability.

It’s similar to the concept in quantum physics where multiple realities exist simultaneously until they are observed. Schrƶdinger’s cat, for example, is both alive and dead until the box is opened and one version of reality is realized.

When we act in the world, we take a determinative stance toward certain possibilities, making them more likely. Our actions don’t guarantee specific outcomes, but they feed the universe with energy in a chosen direction—putting a thumb on the scale of probabilities.

Boldness, then, is a bias toward action rather than inaction, which slightly distorts the field of potential outcomes in our favor.

Each deliberate action we take shifts the probabilities of what happens next. Continued action in the same direction creates a feedback loop, reinforcing and amplifying those probabilities.

Over time, action compounds reality toward your desired future.

In the context of financial independence, there isn’t one big decision or stroke of luck that makes it happen—it’s the recognition of a possibility and the consistent, conscious actions along the timeline that make that possibility more probable.

Every intentional step toward saving, investing, optimizing, or learning tilts the odds toward the life you envision.

The same principle that governs bold action also applies to how we view money itself.


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šŸŽ² Certainty, uncertainty, and bitcoin

When starting on the FIRE journey, it’s impossible to know

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